Econometric Modeling A Likelihood Approach

Review "Hendry and Nielsen's somewhat unusual data-driven approach works well...providing genuine insights at a reasonably advanced level."---John Hudson, Times Higher Education"Summing up: A remarkable achievement, a beautiful piece of work, engaging the reader quickly with the subject matter, Econometric Modeling provides a good introduction to the field for aspiring and advanced students and also contains valuable material and hints for experts already well versed in the subject. A must-buy for the library." ― Current Engineering Practice Product Description Econometric Modeling provides a new and stimulating introduction to econometrics, focusing on modeling. The key issue confronting empirical economics is to establish sustainable relationships that are both supported by data and interpretable from economic theory. The unified likelihood-based approach of this book gives students the required statistical foundations of estimation and inference, and leads to a thorough understanding of econometric techniques. David Hendry and Bent Nielsen introduce modeling for a range of situations, including binary data sets, multiple regression, and cointegrated systems. In each setting, a statistical model is constructed to explain the observed variation in the data, with estimation and inference based on the likelihood function. Substantive issues are always addressed, showing how both statistical and economic assumptions can be tested and empirical results interpreted. Important empirical problems such as structural breaks, forecasting, and model selection are covered, and Monte Carlo simulation is explained and applied. Econometric Modeling is a self-contained introduction for advanced undergraduate or graduate students. Throughout, data illustrate and motivate the approach, and are available for computer-based teaching. Technical issues from probability theory and statistical theory are introduced only as needed. Nevertheless, the approach is rigorous, emphasizing the coherent formulation, estimation, and evaluation of econometric models relevant for empirical research. Review "Hendry and Nielsen's Econometric Modeling is a well-thought-out alternative to other introductory econometric textbooks. I especially like the decision to treat time-series and cross-section analysis simultaneously, since the dichotomy between them, which arises in most other texts, is artificial."―Douglas Steigerwald, University of California, Santa Barbara"This textbook is concise, up-to-date, and largely self-contained. The models it presents are just complicated enough to set out the main econometric ideas."―Marius Ooms, Free University, Amsterdam From the Inside Flap "Hendry and Nielsen's Econometric Modeling is a well-thought-out alternative to other introductory econometric textbooks. I especially like the decision to treat time-series and cross-section analysis simultaneously, since the dichotomy between them, which arises in most other texts, is artificial."--Douglas Steigerwald, University of California, Santa Barbara"This textbook is concise, up-to-date, and largely self-contained. The models it presents are just complicated enough to set out the main econometric ideas."--Marius Ooms, Free University, Amsterdam From the Back Cover "Hendry and Nielsen's Econometric Modeling is a well-thought-out alternative to other introductory econometric textbooks. I especially like the decision to treat time-series and cross-section analysis simultaneously, since the dichotomy between them, which arises in most other texts, is artificial."--Douglas Steigerwald, University of California, Santa Barbara"This textbook is concise, up-to-date, and largely self-contained. The models it presents are just complicated enough to set out the main econometric ideas."--Marius Ooms, Free University, Amsterdam About the Author David F. Hendry is Professor of Economics at the University of Oxford and a Fellow of Nuffield Co