Climate and Social Stress : Implications for Security Analysis

Climate Change Can Reasonably Be Expected To Increase The Frequency And Intensity Of A Variety Of Potentially Disruptive Environmental Events--slowly At First, But Then More Quickly. It Is Prudent To Expect To Be Surprised By The Way In Which These Events May Cascade, Or Have Far-reaching Effects. During The Coming Decade, Certain Climate-related Events Will Produce Consequences That Exceed The Capacity Of The Affected Societies Or Global Systems To Manage; These May Have Global Security Implications. Although Focused On Events Outside The United States, Climate And Social Stress: Implications For Security Analysis Recommends A Range Of Research And Policy Actions To Create A Whole-of-government Approach To Increasing Understanding Of Complex And Contingent Connections Between Climate And Security, And To Inform Choices About Adapting To And Reducing Vulnerability To Climate Change.