The Future Role of Coal : Markets, Supply and the Environment

In Preparation For Their 1998 Plenary Meeting, The Members Of The Iea’s Coal Industry Advisory Board Prepared Individual Papers Addressing The Key Issues Facing The Coal Industry At This Challenging Time. The Result Is A Collection Of Unique Perceptions On The Future Role Of Coal From The Leaders Of The Industry. They Provide A Valuable, First-hand Insight Into The Views And Concerns Of The Coal Industry As It Faces A Rapidly Changing Market Due To: ? Uncertainties Within The Electricity Generating Industry, Which In Turn Are A Result Of The Continuing Transition To A Liberalised Electricity Market And Of Unanswered Questions About The Final Structure, Shape And Regulatory Framework Of This Market; ? Increasing Environmental Commitments By Governments, Especially In The Un Framework Convention On Climate Change And The Kyoto Protocol. Coal, With Its Ample, Cost-effective And Geographically Diverse Reserves, Has Traditionally Been A Major Factor In Energy Security And Price Stability. Is This Important Role Now Under Threat? How Does The Coal Industry Itself See Its Market Evolving? What Are The Industry’s Views Of The Role Of Coal In A Future Where Carbon Emissions Are Strictly Limited? Important Questions With Thought-provoking Responses In This Challenging Collection Of Individual Papers From The Iea’s Coal Industry Advisory Board. Foreword By Iea Executive Director Robert Priddle -- Foreword By Ciab Chairman Leigh Clifford -- Introduction To The Assembly Of Papers And Discussions -- Session 1: Coal Markets And Supply In A Changing World -- -moderator's Introduction By Jim Gardiner -- 1. What Could Shape Up As The Biggest Surprise To Influence The Future Demand For Coal By Peter Rohde -- 2. The Effect Of Electricity Deregulation On The Coal Industry By Nick Baldwin -- 3. Will There Be A Continued Desire Of Many Governments For A Diversity Of Supply, Particularly In The Face Of Any Increasing Share Of Future Energy Imports? If So, How Will This Affect Coal Use? By Richard Budge -- 4. Will There Be A Continued Desire Of Many Governments For A Diversity Of Supply, Particularly In The Face Of Any Increasing Share Of Future Energy Imports? If So, How Will This Affect Coal Use? By N. G. Ketting --^ 5. Is Coal Merely A Necessary Evil For The Short Term, Or Is It A Resource Which Must Be Nurtured For Long Term Use? By Freidrich H. Esser -- 6. Trends In Coal Contracting And Pricing, And Likely Consequences For Coal Price Volatility, Coal Use, And Coal Supply By Dick Austen -- 7. Will There Be A Resurgence Of New Coal-fired Power Plants Outside The Pacific Rim? By Poul Sachmann -- 8. Will There Be A Resurgence Of New Coal-fired Power Plants Outside The Pacific Rim? By Angel L Vivar -- 9. Distributed Generation - Its Future And Does Coal Have A Role To Play? By M. Deats And D. Murray -- 10. The Future Role Of Coal - A South African Perspective By D. Murray -- 11. What Is The Future For Nuclear Energy? By Roland Looses -- 12. Will Natural Gas Remain A Formidable Competitor For 20 Years Or More? By Walter Van De Vijver -- 13. Trends In Utilisation Of Renewable Energy Sources And Their Effect On Consumption Of Coal In The Eu And Finland By Ilkka Pirvola --^ 14. Coal Supply - A View From 2015 By B. R. Brown -- 15. The Abundance Of Coal As A Physical And Economic Resource By Steven F. Leer -- 16. Coal Production In The European Union By Pierre Chassigneux -- 17. How Coal Is Positioned In The Energy Mix In Asia By Takeo Tsuchikawa -- 18. The Cost Of Coal: Critical Factors Affecting Future Trends By Jim Gardiner -- 19. The Future Of Coal: Mining Costs And Productivity By R. Humphris -- 20. Transportation Issues Facing International Coal Trade By David R. Goode -- Session 2. A Carbon Constrained Future -- -introductory Remarks By Leigh Clifford -- 21. Global Warming Issues - Their Influence On Demand By Hiroshi Sugiyama -- 22. The Challenge Of Coal Technology Transfer By R. E. Wilhelm -- 23. The Future Role Of Coal In The Global Energy Supply By Osamu Wakai -- 24. Effects Of Substitution Of Natural Gas For Coal On Atmospheric Co2 Concentration Forecast By Naoki Ishigami --^ 25. The Kyoto Protocol And The Future Role Of Coal. Flexibility Instruments/basket Of Six Gases By Dieter Henning -- 26. Flexibility Mechanisms - Will They Be Successful? With What Impact On The Future Role Of Coal In Oecd Countries? By Leigh Clifford -- 27. The Kyoto Protocal And Market Mechanisms By Ellen Roy -- 28. Can A Coal Mining Business Survive In A Green World? By M. Deets And D.murray -- 29. Can A Coal Mining Business Survive In A Green World? James J. Howard -- 30. Can A Coal-based Energy Business Survive In A Green World? By Allan Gillespie -- 31. Environmental Credentials Of Coal By Robert Kirkby -- 32. Energy And Environment Interface By Staoshi Shiraishi -- 33. Growing The Coal Market Through Technological Advancement By Carlos A. Riva International Energy Agency